Mercedes Benz and its small-car dreams
Posted by: David Welch on November 13 on BusinessWeek The Auto Beat
American seems to be obsessed with small cars these days. Not American consumers, mind you, but policy makers and executives at the companies who must bend to their will. First, we had General Motors and Fiat-Chrysler rushing small cars to market as part of their argument for federal assistance earlier this year. Ford has a few of them coming in response both to high fuel prices and new fuel economy rules. Not to be outdone, Daimler AG CEO Dieter Zetsche says Mercedes may export some small cars to the U.S. Luxury buyers still want luxury, he told the Wall Street Journal, but some may want to make a less ostentatious, low-carbon dioxide statement.
This is wrong on so many levels. The article says that the Mercedes compacts will take on the Audi A3, BMW 1-series and BMW’s Mini Cooper brand. As for the A3 and 1-series, yes the Baby Benz will take them on, battling for all 12,000 cars worth of sales that the two models have sold this year. That’s right. Audi has sold about 2,900 copies of the A3, one-tenth the sales of its A4 sedan. The 1-series has done a bit better, selling almost 9,500 cars. That pales next to 3-series sales of 75,500 cars. Even if Mercedes gets a piece of that compact luxury biz, it will be small potatoes. As if Mercedes needs another model that sells fewer than 10,000 cars a year. The company has about half a dozen or so right now. By the way, Mercedes once shelved plans to bring its small B-class (pictured above) to the U.S. because of currency problems. Well, the dollar is still pretty weak. That will make the car either expensive to buy for consumers or profit-challenged.
And what about taking on Mini? The brand has sold almost 40,000 cars through October and just keeps growing. But it has everyone fooled. First of all, the brand has an incredibly unique image that blends modern technology of BMW’s vaunted engineering with the British styling and heritage of its past. And it is quirky. Mini stands alone unlike any brand in the car market as accessible exclusivity, though not traditional luxury. Will its buyers look at a Baby Benz? I doubt it. One BMW marketer once told me that in their research, they found that Mini owners view BMW owners the way most people view Ferrari owners. Loosely translated from the original profane description, Mini owners seem them as men with more money than confidence. I doubt Mini owners will see the Mercedes brand any differently.
I’ll give you one more practical reason why small cars won’t sell as fuel savers or as a green statement. Take a four-cylinder Chevrolet Malibu. It gets 26 miles per gallon combined and costs $1,526 a year to fuel up. A compact Chevy Cobalt gets 27 mpg and costs $1,482 a year at the pump. Who will sacrifice the passenger space of a Malibu to save $44 a year in gas? Answer: The buyer who can’t afford the Malibu.
Translate that to the luxury market where buyers are less concerned about gasoline prices, and there is even less incentive to go small. As for the low carbon statement, that won’t wash either. By the time Mercedes gets its compacts to the U.S., there will be Chevy Volts, plug-in Priuses, Fisker plug-in hybrids, Tesla electric sedans and plenty more expensive greenery for well-to-do do-gooders. Isn’t this idea just a wee bit silly?
in no way does the A or B-class Mercedes compare to any of the models mentioned. They all have what the Mercedes lacks: they represent young, dynamic drivers who can afford to buy a small premium car and are willing to pay a markup for a strong brand. The typical A and B-class drivers – in terms of perceived and actual age – are seniors. Of course there are also some younger drivers whose parents drive a bigger Mercedes model and who want „to stick with the brand.“ The same is true for the C-class. The average age of drivers still ranges somewhere around 50. That is in the home market of Germany. For long, there have been discussion whether to finally stop these two models: they are simply not profitable enough. And here’s another one: guess which vehicle is currently the most hated rental car in all of Germany: yes, the B-class.
So dear friends down in Stuttgart, you are in need of action now. Define your brand! Either find a new profitable positioning for these two models or combine them into one car. As of today, both are too expensive and do not offer what a Mercedes represents. And do not compare the current A class with a 1 series BMW or an Audi A3. Event rental companies rank these two higher than the A-class.
Die Wirtschaftswoche berichtet in der heutigen Ausgabe in ihrem Leitartikel über die schwerwiegenden Probleme des Daimler Konzerns. Milliardenverluste, höhere Verbrauchswerte als die Konkurrenz aus München und Stuttgart, und in der wahrgenommenen Qualität hinter eben diese beiden Konkurrenten gerutscht. Hochrechnungen gehen davon aus, dass Audi bereits 2010 mehr PKW verkaufen wird als Daimler. Es steht nicht gut um den Stern aus Stuttgart. Aktuell sind laut Wirtschaftswoche 27.000 Mitarbeiter in Kurzarbeit und Chef Zetsche plant bzw. muss den Sparkurs weiter verschärfen um wieder aus den roten Zahlen zu kommen. Substanziell kann Daimler zwar noch auf ein zweistelliges Milliardenpolster bauen, doch wie schnell auch das schmelzen kann, hat GM bewiesen.
Auch von der, die deutsche Automobilwirtschaft vor dem schlimmsten bewahrenden, Abwrackprämie konnte Daimler am wenigsten profitieren. Hier hatten laut Kraftfahrtbundesamt andere die Nase vorne und Daimler einen Absatzeinbruch von 17% im Zeitraum Januar bis September 2009.
Ein düsterer Ausblick.
Doch dann heute diese Nachricht: Mercedes schreibt Gewinne
n-tv.de berichtet, dass Daimler es nach 3 Quartalen tiefroter Zahlen geschafft hat wieder schwarze Zahlen zu schreiben, 470 Millionen Euro um genau zu sein. Das macht doch wieder Hoffnung, ändert aber nichts an der nach wie vor schlechten Ausgangslage. Die E-Klasse verkauft sich schleppend, die C-Klasse dürfte nach wie vor eher ältere Generationen ansprechen (trotz ach so moderner Kanten) und solange andere Premiummarken sparsamere Motoren, die weniger CO2 ausstossen produzieren, wird sich daran nciht viel ändern. Hier waren BMW und Audi konsequenter und letzlich erfolgreicher.
Es bleibt abzuwarten, wie sich Daimler im 4. Quartal schlagen wird.